The issues fall into three broad categories:
a) PMV’s Business Case, or lack thereof
b) Environmental Impacts on Roberts Bank
c) Social and Community Considerations throughout Delta
BUSINESS CASE. PMV consistently overstates demand, in order to justify T2. Since 2011, they have had FOUR forecasts which have all failed to meet expectations: between 2011 & 2015 they have not met their targets.
PMV wears blinkers, when it comes to the port of Prince Rupert. PMV behaves as if Prince Rupert did not exist, when in fact, Fairview Terminal is an integral component of an initiative called the Pacific Gateway. Their planned expansions will allow them to put even more traffic through Prince Rupert.
MASTERS of SPIN. Port Metro has coined the term “effective capacity” to justify their need for T2. Essentially, they claim that 85% is the maximum capacity that they can efficiently function at: anything above that means that they will have to have a new terminal, to handle the business. What a load of tripe! Prince Rupert consistently runs at 95%, & in one recent period, managed to operate at 105% of capacity. A hundred and five percent. Clearly, PMV could learn a thing or two from their northern competitors.
RAIL ISSUES. Currently, the southern BC rail corridor is facing capacity constraints. The T2 project, with its proposed 2 million extra TEUs, would create additional demand, & cause further congestion. In contrast, the rail connection from Prince Rupert is a piece of cake: eastward to anywhere in North America. In addition, Prince Rupert is cheaper to use & is two sailing days NEARER the Asian market.
WHITE ELEPHANT. If it is ever built, T2 will likely be the most expensive port project in the world. And it won’t be cheap to use, either.
Our friend Roger Emsley has crafted an in-depth treatise about why the Port’s proposal is not sustainable. It’s a compelling read.